Approaching Summer Holidays and Travel Preparations Divert Consumers from Durable Goods’ Purchases
ARA Research & Consultancy released its Consumer Confidence Index for Kuwait for May 2025, sponsored by Lexus.
The ARA General Index recorded 114 points, decreasing by 3 points in May. The decrease was observed among Kuwaitis, while the index increased among Arab residents. All sub-indexes that make up the General Index recorded slight decreases, except for the Expected Personal Income Index, which increased by 1 point. With that, the high levels recorded by the various indexes in April were corrected in May, returning to the average levels seen since January 2024.
It is worth noting that this survey was conducted before Eid Al-Adha, that is, prior to the Israeli strike on Iranian territory on the morning of June 13.
Stability in the Economic Situation Indexes
The Current Economic Situation Index recorded 109 points, decreasing by 1 point in May. The index decreased significantly among Kuwaitis by 11 points, while it increased by 7 points among Arab residents.
Similarly, the Expected Economic Situation Index decreased by 4 points, recording 115 points, and moved away from the record levels of above 120 points achieved during several months in 2024 and early 2025. The index decreased by 8 points among Kuwaitis, while it increased by 1 point among Arab residents.
Among the supporting factors contributing to the stability of economic indexes, despite the drop in oil prices to USD 64 during May (a 19.7 % decrease compared to the previous fiscal year’s price), the following can be highlighted:
A - Infrastructure contracts underway, such as roads and the airport expansion, which amounted to USD 15.6 billion in 2024 according to MEED magazine. B - The International Monetary Fund's projection for Kuwait to achieve a 1.9 % growth this year. C - Despite challenges, the Kuwait Stock Exchange recorded the best performance in the GCC during the first four months of the year. D - The real estate sector saw significant progress in construction activity, with a strong focus on this sector’s development, proposing expansion of buildable areas, and facilitating access to residential homes for citizens.
Stability in the Personal Income Indexes
The Current Personal Income Index maintained its high levels, despite decreasing by 1 point to 111 points at the end of May. The index decreased by 4 points among Kuwaitis and increased by 1 point among Arab residents, remaining at high levels not seen since mid-2022.
The Expected Personal Income Index continued to boost its high levels, reaching 113 points with a 1-point increase at the end of May. The index decreased by 2 points among Kuwaitis and increased by 2 points among Arab residents.
Fluctuation in the Employment Opportunities Index
The Current Employment Opportunities Index recorded 141 points, decreasing by 4 points at the end of May. Notably, the index declined among Kuwaitis, while it increased by an equal proportion among Arab residents. This index continues to fluctuate around the 150-point level, which it has surpassed in several months of both the current and previous years.
The Purchase Index Loses its Gains
The Purchase of Durable Goods Index lost all the gains it achieved with the surge recorded in April. It decreased by 21 points, reaching 105 points at the end of May. It was the only index that decreased among both Kuwaitis and Arab residents. The approaching Eid Al-Adha holiday before conducting the study and the preparations for summer travel may have led families to hold off on purchasing durable goods.
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